TRABALHOS PUBLICADOS

@inproceedings{Jos\'{e}2016Effects-basedb,

title = {A system dynamics approach for aiding effects-based operations planning},

author = {Jos\'{e} Carlos Melo J\'{u}nior and Mischel Carmen Neyra Belderrain and Ana Lucia Pegetti},

url = {https://www.sige.ita.br/edicoes-anteriores/2016/st/ST_05_2.pdf},

year  = {2016},

date = {2016-01-01},

booktitle = {Simp\'{o}sio de Aplica\c{c}\~{o}es Operacionais em \'{A}reas de Defesa 2016 (SIGE2016)},

abstract = {The environment in which military operations occur have changed significantly. Asymmetric conflicts have become the prevalent form of warfare, replacing the traditional symmetric warfare in terms of geopolitical importance. This new operation environment has given rise to effects-based operations approach. This new concept requires decision makers to adopt a systemic perspective rather than an event-oriented worldview. However, warfare is complex and dynamic. Cause and effect are often distant in space and time and dysfunctional behaviour can arise from systems \textendash some seemingly obvious solutions to problems fail or even worsen the initial situation. To address this issue, the system dynamics methodology is presented as a method which allows decision makers to overcome human cognitive limitations and to design more effective policies. To this end, a basic model of guerrilla warfare is developed and explored for the purpose of demonstrating how the methodology can explain much of the behaviour of warfare.},

keywords = {Effects-based operations EBO, System Dynamics},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {inproceedings}

}

@inproceedings{Samuel2016Systemb,

title = {Modelagem da Cadeia Log\'{i}stica de Reposi\c{c}\~{a}o de Componentes Aeron\'{a}uticos no contexto do System Dynamics},

author = {Samuel Bloch Silva and Marcelo Dias Ferreira and Mischel Carmen Neyra Belderrain and Anderson Ribeiro Correia},

url = {https://www.sige.ita.br/edicoes-anteriores/2016/st/ST_01_2.pdf},

year  = {2016},

date = {2016-01-01},

booktitle = {Simp\'{o}sio de Aplica\c{c}\~{o}es Operacionais em \'{A}reas de Defesa 2016 (SIGE2016)},

abstract = {Desde a d\'{e}cada de 60, a metodologia conhecida como Din\^{a}mica de Sistemas (System Dynamics - SD) vem se destacando como ferramenta para analisar a din\^{a}mica dos sistemas produtivos e log\'{i}sticos. Atrav\'{e}s de diversos tipos de diagramas (causais, estoque e fluxo) \'{e} poss\'{i}vel expressar graficamente um sistema, possibilitando representar a complexidade din\^{a}mica das rela\c{c}\~{o}es entre as partes ao longo do tempo. Isto envolve desde a an\'{a}lise estrutural at\'{e} a defini\c{c}\~{a}o de pol\'{i}ticas de tomada de decis\~{a}o um determinado ambiente produtivo. O presente trabalho apresenta resultados relativos ao apoio \`{a} tomada de decis\~{a}o de uma cadeia gen\'{e}rica de reposi\c{c}\~{a}o de componentes aeron\'{a}uticos MRO, tendo como objetivo a melhoria no planejamento atrav\'{e}s da simula\c{c}\~{a}o do seu comportamento din\^{a}mico.},

keywords = {Cadeia Log\'{i}stica, System Dynamics},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {inproceedings}

}